Timeless Marketing Truths Reframed for a Harder Economy
Last week in Chicago, my daughter signed us up for a make-your-own-candle session at a small neighborhood shop. It is not the kind of activity I would seek out on my own, but she loved the idea, so off we went. The owner was a sharp young entrepreneur who had been running the place since before the pandemic. As we talked, I asked her how business was going. Her answer came without hesitation. Things had softened. Not just a little, but noticeably over the past three to six months. Coming out of COVID they were slammed. Now she was seeing fewer date nights, fewer families, fewer groups of friends. Her customers spanned a wide range of ages and incomes, yet the pattern was the same. People are cutting back.
As she talked, I kept thinking about what I am hearing from restaurant clients across the country. Transactions have been down. Frequency is slipping. More meals are being prepared at home. Younger consumers are pulling back harder than anyone expected, but they are not alone. Families with solid incomes are watching their spending. Seniors are worried about fixed budgets. Everyone is being squeezed. It is not a crisis. It is a slow tightening that affects choices one visit at a time.
The data tells the same story. Consumer confidence has dropped sharply. Inflation expectations remain elevated. Discretionary categories are losing ground to necessary ones. In many ways, 2025 delivered a lesson every marketer should pay attention to. When wallets tighten, people return to the familiar. They gravitate towards things that feel steady and recognizable. They retreat from anything that looks risky, unfocused, or too eager to be something new.
This is the backdrop for 2026.
And it puts clear pressure on restaurant marketers to make disciplined choices about how they show up in the market.